Storm surges along the east coast of the Adriatic Sea

Abstract

      A statistical method for the forecasting of storm surges along the east coast of the Adriatic Sea was developed. On the basis of the theoretical results obtained by solving equations of motion and applying the multiple regression method the models for calculation of the residual sea levels were constructed. Models were tested for meteorological situations with strong cyclonic SE wind at Koper, Split and Dubrovnik stations. It was found that the multiple regression models present very good estimate of the residual elevations for the situations with permanent air pressure decrease and SE wind increase.